In 2019, the Center for Modeling the Future and a number of Russian non-profit organizations came up with the initiative to hold the Horizon-2100 International Youth Competition for Scientific and Creative Works. The competition was a success, young people from 19 countries of the world and 79 cities and towns of Russia took part in it, schoolchildren and students from 12 countries became winners.
And in September 2019, Secretary-General António Guterres announced that the UN is launching the largest debate in history in 2020, and is calling for everyone from students, policy makers, parliamentarians to villagers to join the debate to rethink our future and present ideas to address the challenges ahead. us problems, while "... special attention in the framework of the Initiative will be given to the opinion of young people ...".
In this regard, members of the organizing committee, jury members and experts at the International Expert and Communication Meeting in February 2020 decided to join HORIZON 2100 to the UN Initiative. Also, during the online broadcast, experts from different countries addressed universities, various public associations of scientists, students, and business representatives in their country in their own language and announced the start of the HORIZON 2100 Competition for 2020. Thus, the Center for Modeling the Future, encouraging the involvement of experts and the intellectual activity of schoolchildren and students around the world, initiated a powerful wave of searching for ideas and solutions to overcome the threats facing the world.
The priority goals of the competition in 2020:
To motivate thinking youth from different countries with an active lifestyle to “turn on” their intelligence and:
- carry out a creative search for scientific ideas, hypotheses, sci-fi ideas about the distant future at the turn of 2100;
- to propose solutions to overcome the threats facing the world to sustainable development for the period up to 2045;
- to propose concrete ideas for building the Future and a positive vision for the sustainable development of humanity.
According to its Regulations, the participants of the Competition were schoolchildren, students and working youth aged 16 to 26, who carry out research, scientific and practical activities and / or science fiction literary creativity in the subject area of the Competition.
For the best scientific, research, scientific and practical work or engineering startup for the period until 2045
For the best creative work - a science fiction story describing imaginary innovative and original ideas, fantastic events, phenomena, processes and prospects for the future at the turn of 2100, giving them a scientific explanation
For the best scientific article reflecting the scientific vision of the future of the planet and humanity at the turn of 2100 and the prospects for the development of its various scenarios
The competition was held in the following core areas:
Methodological, methodological and informational support of forecasting
Biology, medicine, urban studies, space, nanotechnology, space
Business, economics, rural development and agro-industrial complex, transport and infrastructure
Ecology, circular economy, environment, energy and alternative energy sources
Artificial Intelligence and Cognitive Technologies, AR / VR, Quantum Computing, Machine Learning, Cognitive Technologies
STATE, SOCIETY AND POLITICS
Society, Demography, Geopolitics, army, wars, international security, regional conflicts
in the context of solving the problems put on the UN agenda
A total of 326 works were submitted to the competition:
— 106 works - for the nomination "Overcoming Global Threats (to the centenary of the UN)";
— 92 works - for the nomination for a scientific vision of the future at the turn of 2100;
— 130 works - science fiction works about the future at the turn of 2100.
Of these, 239 works were allowed to participate in the competition, 89 were not admitted to the competition due to inconsistency with the subject matter or the presence of plagiarism.
Each work was checked by 3 experts: doctor and candidate of science + master, or at least candidate, candidate of science / associate professor, master.
In total, the experts prepared 717 expert opinions on 239 works received in Russian and English.
A little analysis showed that the participants' preferences by topic were distributed as follows:
In addition to the examination of the works and determination of the winners, computer thematic modeling was carried out and key clusters were identified, which can be interpreted as trends, fears, preferences, ... etc. which young people think about.
1. Frequencies of occurrence of words were calculated and displayed as a cloud of words, the larger the font, the more often the word occurs.
As you can see in the figure, in the center of interests is the person himself and his life time.
The appearance of the words "water" and "systems" is interesting: the participants of the competition think about the planet as a whole and such words as: "environment", "water", "life" "energy" - speak about the theme of the planet earth as a common home for all people. There is no word "war", "conflict" and other similar words. So these are not the words that come to minds of young people when they think about the future, which makes them happy, so we all have a chance…
2. Topics were selected from the texts (the method of principal components was used) and word clouds were built.
GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND SCIENCE THEME
ICT TOPIC (INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES)
ENVIRONMENT AND PUBLIC HEALTH THEME
FERTILITY, MIGRATION AND POPULATION GROWTH THEME
THE TOPIC OF GLOBAL RIGHTS OF THE POPULATION AND A SPECIFIC PERSON
HEALTH AND FOOD THEME
Food and health are viewed together and from different perspectives. The point of view of a specific person's life:
THE THEME OF THREATS, CONFLICTS AND FORESTS
It was unexpected that the forest (trees) are associated with threats and conflicts!
The frequency of occurrence of words, displayed in the form of a cloud of words, can be interpreted as trends, fears, preferences that young people think about, which in turn, obviously, is subject to a deeper analysis.
In 2020, 74 participants from 27 regions and republics and 39 cities and towns of Russia, as well as from China, India, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia, Belarus, Ukraine, Moldova, Czech Republic, became finalists of the HORIZON 21090 Competition. Serbia, Hungary, Portugal, Luxembourg, Argentina, Brazil. Ecuador, USA.
CHAIRMAN OF THE ORGANIZING COMMITTEE OF THE PROJECT
OSOKINA IRINA LVOVNA
Russia, the author-developer of the Project. candidate of sociological sciences, chairman of the Council of the Center for Modeling the Future, deputy of the Moscow City Duma of the 2nd convocation.
INTERNATIONAL JURY OF THE COMPETITION. CO-CHAIRS:
SIDELNIKOV YURI VALENTINOVICH
Russia, Doctor of Technical Sciences, Chief Researcher at the Institute for Management Problems. V.A. Trapeznikov of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Professor of the Moscow Aviation Institute - National Research University, First Vice President of the International Academy for Future Studies.
Italy, doctor of social sciences, prof. University of Trieste, founder of the International University Institute for European Studies (IUIES), co-founder of the International Academy for Future Studies, Ch. editor of the magazine FUTURIBILI.
Lebanon, Academician of the Russian Academy of Education, Doctor of Philosophy, Laureate of the International Prize. EAT. Primakov for the book "Russian civilization: meaning and destiny", President of the Open University of the Dialogue of Civilizations.
The experts who evaluated the works in 2020 represented countries such as Russia, Syria, Lebanon, Spain, India, Korea, Tajikistan, Armenia. Thus, the HORIZON 2100 competition covered representatives from 24 countries in 2020.
In general, for 2019-2020, the HORIZON 2100 competition extended its borders to 41 countries, including: Australia, Austria, Azerbaijan, Argentina, Armenia, Belarus, Bulgaria, Brazil, Hungary, Germany, Georgia, Italy, India, Iran , Spain, Kazakhstan, China, Kenya, Korea, Canada, Kyrgyzstan, Lebanon, Luxembourg, Mauritius, Mongolia, Moldova, Nigeria, Pakistan, Poland, Portugal, Russia, Syria, Serbia, USA, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Ukraine, Chile, Czech Republic , Ecuador, South Africa.
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